Population · Europe
Guernsey population 2026
Right now · estimate
Guernsey population right now
64,641
- Births today
- 0
- Deaths today
- 0
- Births this year
- 440
- Births minus deaths this year
- -81
Guernsey has an estimated 64,610 people on 1 July 2026, the UN's projection, 134 more than a year earlier (+0.21%). It is the 207th most populous country in the world. It is projected to keep growing until 2031, peaking at 65 thousand, then decline to 53 thousand by 2100.
UN projection The counter interpolates the UN’s 1 July figures to the second; it is an estimate, not a count.
Guernsey in numbers, 2026
- Births in 2026
- 524 1 a day
- Deaths in 2026
- 620 2 a day
- Net migration
- +196 more arrivals than departures
- Growth rate
- +0.15% growing
- Fertility rate
- 1.37per woman below replacement (2.1)
- Median age
- 44.5years world: 31.1
- Life expectancy
- 83.7years
- Aged 65 and over
- 22.7% 30.7% by 2050
Land, people and health
- Capital
- St Peter Port
- Area
- 78 km² 225th largest of 237
- Population density
- 1,010per km² 13th most crowded
- Urban population
- 29.5% 25.2% by 2050
- Men and women
- 32 thousand / 33 thousand 97.6 men per 100 women
- Life expectancy, women
- 85.9years men: 81.5 years
- Infant mortality
- 5.5per 1,000 births under-5: 6.4
- Birth rate
- 8.1per 1,000 death rate: 9.6
- Net migration rate
- +3.0per 1,000 net arrivals
Population of Guernsey, 1950–2100
Projected peak: 2031, 65 thousand. By 2050: 63 thousand (−2.8% from today).
- UN estimate
- UN projection
› Show the numbers as a table
| Year | Population |
|---|---|
| 1950 | 44,946 |
| 1951 | 45,823 |
| 1952 | 46,099 |
| 1953 | 46,208 |
| 1954 | 46,310 |
| 1955 | 46,395 |
| 1956 | 46,498 |
| 1957 | 46,658 |
| 1958 | 46,823 |
| 1959 | 46,979 |
| 1960 | 47,164 |
| 1961 | 47,484 |
| 1962 | 47,993 |
| 1963 | 48,615 |
| 1964 | 49,289 |
| 1965 | 49,970 |
| 1966 | 50,651 |
| 1967 | 51,364 |
| 1968 | 52,107 |
| 1969 | 52,860 |
| 1970 | 53,634 |
| 1971 | 54,154 |
| 1972 | 54,284 |
| 1973 | 54,307 |
| 1974 | 54,323 |
| 1975 | 54,275 |
| 1976 | 54,196 |
| 1977 | 54,140 |
| 1978 | 54,088 |
| 1979 | 54,013 |
| 1980 | 53,929 |
| 1981 | 54,029 |
| 1982 | 54,352 |
| 1983 | 54,751 |
| 1984 | 55,212 |
| 1985 | 55,704 |
| 1986 | 56,239 |
| 1987 | 56,849 |
| 1988 | 57,498 |
| 1989 | 58,187 |
| 1990 | 58,901 |
| 1991 | 59,380 |
| 1992 | 59,511 |
| 1993 | 59,506 |
| 1994 | 59,461 |
| 1995 | 59,377 |
| 1996 | 59,388 |
| 1997 | 59,554 |
| 1998 | 59,778 |
| 1999 | 60,022 |
| 2000 | 60,269 |
| 2001 | 60,462 |
| 2002 | 60,584 |
| 2003 | 60,682 |
| 2004 | 60,776 |
| 2005 | 60,877 |
| 2006 | 60,986 |
| 2007 | 61,102 |
| 2008 | 61,228 |
| 2009 | 61,366 |
| 2010 | 61,513 |
| 2011 | 61,677 |
| 2012 | 61,856 |
| 2013 | 62,023 |
| 2014 | 62,158 |
| 2015 | 62,237 |
| 2016 | 62,190 |
| 2017 | 62,194 |
| 2018 | 62,432 |
| 2019 | 62,783 |
| 2020 | 63,106 |
| 2021 | 63,414 |
| 2022 | 63,725 |
| 2023 | 64,017 |
| 2024 * | 64,280 |
| 2025 * | 64,476 |
| 2026 * | 64,610 |
| 2027 * | 64,701 |
| 2028 * | 64,768 |
| 2029 * | 64,806 |
| 2030 * | 64,824 |
| 2031 * | 64,826 |
| 2032 * | 64,822 |
| 2033 * | 64,809 |
| 2034 * | 64,778 |
| 2035 * | 64,725 |
| 2036 * | 64,659 |
| 2037 * | 64,589 |
| 2038 * | 64,512 |
| 2039 * | 64,425 |
| 2040 * | 64,326 |
| 2041 * | 64,225 |
| 2042 * | 64,112 |
| 2043 * | 63,986 |
| 2044 * | 63,852 |
| 2045 * | 63,708 |
| 2046 * | 63,559 |
| 2047 * | 63,398 |
| 2048 * | 63,212 |
| 2049 * | 63,011 |
| 2050 * | 62,800 |
| 2051 * | 62,582 |
| 2052 * | 62,356 |
| 2053 * | 62,128 |
| 2054 * | 61,906 |
| 2055 * | 61,678 |
| 2056 * | 61,446 |
| 2057 * | 61,212 |
| 2058 * | 60,970 |
| 2059 * | 60,724 |
| 2060 * | 60,475 |
| 2061 * | 60,234 |
| 2062 * | 60,004 |
| 2063 * | 59,779 |
| 2064 * | 59,550 |
| 2065 * | 59,311 |
| 2066 * | 59,074 |
| 2067 * | 58,849 |
| 2068 * | 58,642 |
| 2069 * | 58,438 |
| 2070 * | 58,234 |
| 2071 * | 58,042 |
| 2072 * | 57,850 |
| 2073 * | 57,654 |
| 2074 * | 57,465 |
| 2075 * | 57,275 |
| 2076 * | 57,086 |
| 2077 * | 56,911 |
| 2078 * | 56,734 |
| 2079 * | 56,547 |
| 2080 * | 56,362 |
| 2081 * | 56,182 |
| 2082 * | 55,996 |
| 2083 * | 55,807 |
| 2084 * | 55,620 |
| 2085 * | 55,431 |
| 2086 * | 55,248 |
| 2087 * | 55,068 |
| 2088 * | 54,894 |
| 2089 * | 54,723 |
| 2090 * | 54,548 |
| 2091 * | 54,376 |
| 2092 * | 54,217 |
| 2093 * | 54,062 |
| 2094 * | 53,898 |
| 2095 * | 53,733 |
| 2096 * | 53,569 |
| 2097 * | 53,401 |
| 2098 * | 53,236 |
| 2099 * | 53,073 |
| 2100 * | 52,910 |
* UN projection
Population of Guernsey by year
60 thousand in 2000, 65 thousand in 2026. Every year for the last decade, then every five years to 1950. * UN projection; earlier years are UN estimates.
| Year | Population | Yearly change | Change | Net migrants | Median age | Fertility | Density (km²) | Urban | World share | World rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* | 64,610 | +0.21% | +134 | +196 | 44.5 | 1.37 | 1,010 | 30% | 0.00% | 207 |
| 2025* | 64,476 | +0.30% | +196 | +254 | 44.3 | 1.37 | 1,007 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2024* | 64,280 | +0.41% | +263 | +297 | 44.1 | 1.37 | 1,004 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2023 | 64,017 | +0.46% | +292 | +380 | 44.0 | 1.36 | 1,000 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2022 | 63,725 | +0.49% | +311 | +347 | 43.9 | 1.37 | 996 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2021 | 63,414 | +0.49% | +308 | +467 | 43.8 | 1.36 | 991 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2020 | 63,106 | +0.51% | +323 | +322 | 43.7 | 1.33 | 986 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2019 | 62,783 | +0.56% | +351 | +421 | 43.6 | 1.32 | 981 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2018 | 62,432 | +0.38% | +238 | +388 | 43.4 | 1.34 | 975 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2017 | 62,194 | +0.01% | +4 | +200 | 43.2 | 1.38 | 972 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2016 | 62,190 | −0.08% | −47 | −132 | 42.9 | 1.44 | 972 | 30% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2015 | 62,237 | +0.13% | +79 | +31 | 42.5 | 1.47 | 972 | 30% | 0.00% | 207 |
| 2010 | 61,513 | +0.24% | +147 | +44 | 40.8 | 1.56 | 961 | 29% | 0.00% | 207 |
| 2005 | 60,877 | +0.17% | +101 | +14 | 39.1 | 1.49 | 951 | 28% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2000 | 60,269 | +0.41% | +247 | +145 | 37.4 | 1.47 | 942 | 28% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 1995 | 59,377 | −0.14% | −84 | −142 | 36.1 | 1.34 | 928 | 28% | 0.00% | 207 |
| 1990 | 58,901 | +1.23% | +714 | +609 | 35.5 | 1.61 | 920 | 28% | 0.00% | 205 |
| 1985 | 55,704 | +0.89% | +492 | +440 | 35.1 | 1.55 | 870 | 29% | 0.00% | 205 |
| 1980 | 53,929 | −0.16% | −84 | −123 | 33.6 | 1.59 | 843 | 29% | 0.00% | 204 |
| 1975 | 54,275 | −0.09% | −48 | −159 | 32.1 | 1.65 | 848 | 31% | 0.00% | 204 |
| 1970 | 53,634 | +1.46% | +774 | +683 | 34.1 | 2.11 | 838 | 32% | 0.00% | 203 |
| 1965 | 49,970 | +1.38% | +681 | +572 | 35.0 | 2.35 | 781 | 33% | 0.00% | 201 |
| 1960 | 47,164 | +0.39% | +185 | +11 | 35.2 | 2.24 | 737 | 34% | 0.00% | 198 |
| 1955 | 46,395 | +0.18% | +85 | −45 | 34.3 | 2.08 | 725 | 35% | 0.00% | 198 |
| 1950 | 44,946 | – | – | +1,069 | 33.8 | 2.33 | 702 | 37% | 0.00% | 197 |
Population forecast for Guernsey
UN medium-variant projection: 63 thousand in 2050 (−2.8% from 2026), 53 thousand in 2100.
| Year | Population | Yearly change | Net migrants | Median age | Fertility | Density (km²) | Urban | World share | World rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 64,824 | +0.03% | +144 | 45.4 | 1.39 | 1,013 | 29% | 0.00% | 206 |
| 2035 | 64,725 | −0.08% | +114 | 46.5 | 1.40 | 1,011 | 29% | 0.00% | 206 |
| 2040 | 64,326 | −0.15% | +125 | 47.6 | 1.42 | 1,005 | 28% | 0.00% | 206 |
| 2045 | 63,708 | −0.23% | +124 | 48.1 | 1.43 | 995 | 27% | 0.00% | 206 |
| 2050 | 62,800 | −0.33% | +108 | 48.6 | 1.45 | 981 | 25% | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2060 | 60,475 | −0.41% | +116 | 49.1 | 1.47 | 945 | – | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2070 | 58,234 | −0.35% | +115 | 49.7 | 1.49 | 910 | – | 0.00% | 208 |
| 2080 | 56,362 | −0.33% | +97 | 49.5 | 1.50 | 881 | – | 0.00% | 207 |
| 2090 | 54,548 | −0.32% | +93 | 49.7 | 1.52 | 852 | – | 0.00% | 206 |
| 2100 | 52,910 | −0.31% | +81 | 50.0 | 1.53 | 827 | – | 0.00% | 206 |
Age structure
Median age 44.5. 22.7% are 65 or older, 30.7% by 2050; 13.6% are under 15.
Share of the total population in each age group (%)
Births per woman
1.37 in 2026; about 2.1 keeps a population stable without migration. Below 2.1 since 1971.
- UN estimate
- UN projection
› Show the numbers as a table
| Year | Fertility rate |
|---|---|
| 1950 | 2.33 |
| 1951 | 2.26 |
| 1952 | 2.18 |
| 1953 | 2.13 |
| 1954 | 2.09 |
| 1955 | 2.08 |
| 1956 | 2.09 |
| 1957 | 2.12 |
| 1958 | 2.15 |
| 1959 | 2.19 |
| 1960 | 2.24 |
| 1961 | 2.27 |
| 1962 | 2.37 |
| 1963 | 2.47 |
| 1964 | 2.47 |
| 1965 | 2.35 |
| 1966 | 2.23 |
| 1967 | 2.15 |
| 1968 | 2.13 |
| 1969 | 2.16 |
| 1970 | 2.11 |
| 1971 | 2.02 |
| 1972 | 1.94 |
| 1973 | 1.82 |
| 1974 | 1.73 |
| 1975 | 1.65 |
| 1976 | 1.60 |
| 1977 | 1.57 |
| 1978 | 1.57 |
| 1979 | 1.59 |
| 1980 | 1.59 |
| 1981 | 1.57 |
| 1982 | 1.49 |
| 1983 | 1.62 |
| 1984 | 1.47 |
| 1985 | 1.55 |
| 1986 | 1.59 |
| 1987 | 1.57 |
| 1988 | 1.54 |
| 1989 | 1.55 |
| 1990 | 1.61 |
| 1991 | 1.56 |
| 1992 | 1.48 |
| 1993 | 1.44 |
| 1994 | 1.42 |
| 1995 | 1.34 |
| 1996 | 1.41 |
| 1997 | 1.47 |
| 1998 | 1.48 |
| 1999 | 1.50 |
| 2000 | 1.47 |
| 2001 | 1.45 |
| 2002 | 1.45 |
| 2003 | 1.46 |
| 2004 | 1.47 |
| 2005 | 1.49 |
| 2006 | 1.51 |
| 2007 | 1.53 |
| 2008 | 1.55 |
| 2009 | 1.55 |
| 2010 | 1.56 |
| 2011 | 1.56 |
| 2012 | 1.56 |
| 2013 | 1.54 |
| 2014 | 1.51 |
| 2015 | 1.47 |
| 2016 | 1.44 |
| 2017 | 1.38 |
| 2018 | 1.34 |
| 2019 | 1.32 |
| 2020 | 1.33 |
| 2021 | 1.36 |
| 2022 | 1.37 |
| 2023 | 1.36 |
| 2024 * | 1.37 |
| 2025 * | 1.37 |
| 2026 * | 1.37 |
| 2027 * | 1.38 |
| 2028 * | 1.38 |
| 2029 * | 1.38 |
| 2030 * | 1.39 |
| 2031 * | 1.39 |
| 2032 * | 1.40 |
| 2033 * | 1.40 |
| 2034 * | 1.40 |
| 2035 * | 1.40 |
| 2036 * | 1.41 |
| 2037 * | 1.41 |
| 2038 * | 1.41 |
| 2039 * | 1.41 |
| 2040 * | 1.42 |
| 2041 * | 1.42 |
| 2042 * | 1.42 |
| 2043 * | 1.42 |
| 2044 * | 1.43 |
| 2045 * | 1.43 |
| 2046 * | 1.44 |
| 2047 * | 1.44 |
| 2048 * | 1.44 |
| 2049 * | 1.45 |
| 2050 * | 1.45 |
| 2051 * | 1.45 |
| 2052 * | 1.45 |
| 2053 * | 1.45 |
| 2054 * | 1.45 |
| 2055 * | 1.46 |
| 2056 * | 1.46 |
| 2057 * | 1.46 |
| 2058 * | 1.46 |
| 2059 * | 1.46 |
| 2060 * | 1.47 |
| 2061 * | 1.47 |
| 2062 * | 1.47 |
| 2063 * | 1.48 |
| 2064 * | 1.48 |
| 2065 * | 1.48 |
| 2066 * | 1.48 |
| 2067 * | 1.48 |
| 2068 * | 1.49 |
| 2069 * | 1.49 |
| 2070 * | 1.49 |
| 2071 * | 1.49 |
| 2072 * | 1.49 |
| 2073 * | 1.49 |
| 2074 * | 1.49 |
| 2075 * | 1.50 |
| 2076 * | 1.50 |
| 2077 * | 1.50 |
| 2078 * | 1.50 |
| 2079 * | 1.50 |
| 2080 * | 1.50 |
| 2081 * | 1.50 |
| 2082 * | 1.50 |
| 2083 * | 1.50 |
| 2084 * | 1.51 |
| 2085 * | 1.51 |
| 2086 * | 1.51 |
| 2087 * | 1.51 |
| 2088 * | 1.51 |
| 2089 * | 1.52 |
| 2090 * | 1.52 |
| 2091 * | 1.52 |
| 2092 * | 1.52 |
| 2093 * | 1.52 |
| 2094 * | 1.52 |
| 2095 * | 1.52 |
| 2096 * | 1.52 |
| 2097 * | 1.52 |
| 2098 * | 1.53 |
| 2099 * | 1.53 |
| 2100 * | 1.53 |
* UN projection
Births and deaths each year
Deaths have outnumbered births since 2016.
- Births
- Deaths
- UN estimate
- UN projection
› Show the numbers as a table
| Year | Births | Deaths |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 736 | 502 |
| 1951 | 719 | 487 |
| 1952 | 692 | 472 |
| 1953 | 669 | 497 |
| 1954 | 651 | 471 |
| 1955 | 641 | 522 |
| 1956 | 639 | 400 |
| 1957 | 643 | 498 |
| 1958 | 645 | 492 |
| 1959 | 649 | 479 |
| 1960 | 654 | 462 |
| 1961 | 655 | 538 |
| 1962 | 686 | 522 |
| 1963 | 723 | 501 |
| 1964 | 736 | 565 |
| 1965 | 715 | 615 |
| 1966 | 698 | 571 |
| 1967 | 694 | 582 |
| 1968 | 712 | 621 |
| 1969 | 744 | 638 |
| 1970 | 745 | 644 |
| 1971 | 732 | 633 |
| 1972 | 726 | 646 |
| 1973 | 702 | 590 |
| 1974 | 691 | 606 |
| 1975 | 677 | 611 |
| 1976 | 673 | 610 |
| 1977 | 654 | 597 |
| 1978 | 641 | 602 |
| 1979 | 639 | 616 |
| 1980 | 630 | 586 |
| 1981 | 614 | 615 |
| 1982 | 590 | 735 |
| 1983 | 650 | 575 |
| 1984 | 600 | 579 |
| 1985 | 642 | 591 |
| 1986 | 669 | 617 |
| 1987 | 678 | 604 |
| 1988 | 681 | 595 |
| 1989 | 705 | 571 |
| 1990 | 751 | 637 |
| 1991 | 751 | 621 |
| 1992 | 717 | 589 |
| 1993 | 692 | 644 |
| 1994 | 678 | 647 |
| 1995 | 633 | 588 |
| 1996 | 659 | 598 |
| 1997 | 682 | 570 |
| 1998 | 676 | 553 |
| 1999 | 678 | 515 |
| 2000 | 655 | 557 |
| 2001 | 640 | 559 |
| 2002 | 628 | 559 |
| 2003 | 621 | 564 |
| 2004 | 615 | 535 |
| 2005 | 615 | 530 |
| 2006 | 615 | 519 |
| 2007 | 615 | 521 |
| 2008 | 613 | 520 |
| 2009 | 606 | 514 |
| 2010 | 603 | 505 |
| 2011 | 600 | 500 |
| 2012 | 593 | 525 |
| 2013 | 584 | 513 |
| 2014 | 569 | 513 |
| 2015 | 554 | 534 |
| 2016 | 537 | 552 |
| 2017 | 515 | 570 |
| 2018 | 496 | 554 |
| 2019 | 494 | 539 |
| 2020 | 501 | 551 |
| 2021 | 517 | 637 |
| 2022 | 521 | 589 |
| 2023 | 521 | 595 |
| 2024 * | 525 | 605 |
| 2025 * | 525 | 613 |
| 2026 * | 524 | 620 |
| 2027 * | 523 | 629 |
| 2028 * | 523 | 637 |
| 2029 * | 521 | 644 |
| 2030 * | 519 | 652 |
| 2031 * | 519 | 660 |
| 2032 * | 518 | 670 |
| 2033 * | 517 | 678 |
| 2034 * | 517 | 685 |
| 2035 * | 517 | 695 |
| 2036 * | 517 | 704 |
| 2037 * | 517 | 714 |
| 2038 * | 517 | 722 |
| 2039 * | 517 | 732 |
| 2040 * | 518 | 740 |
| 2041 * | 518 | 748 |
| 2042 * | 517 | 756 |
| 2043 * | 517 | 765 |
| 2044 * | 516 | 772 |
| 2045 * | 514 | 780 |
| 2046 * | 511 | 788 |
| 2047 * | 507 | 793 |
| 2048 * | 503 | 800 |
| 2049 * | 498 | 807 |
| 2050 * | 493 | 811 |
| 2051 * | 487 | 816 |
| 2052 * | 482 | 821 |
| 2053 * | 478 | 825 |
| 2054 * | 474 | 828 |
| 2055 * | 471 | 828 |
| 2056 * | 469 | 828 |
| 2057 * | 467 | 829 |
| 2058 * | 465 | 829 |
| 2059 * | 464 | 828 |
| 2060 * | 463 | 825 |
| 2061 * | 463 | 822 |
| 2062 * | 463 | 818 |
| 2063 * | 464 | 813 |
| 2064 * | 463 | 806 |
| 2065 * | 463 | 801 |
| 2066 * | 463 | 795 |
| 2067 * | 463 | 790 |
| 2068 * | 462 | 784 |
| 2069 * | 462 | 778 |
| 2070 * | 461 | 773 |
| 2071 * | 461 | 767 |
| 2072 * | 460 | 762 |
| 2073 * | 459 | 757 |
| 2074 * | 459 | 752 |
| 2075 * | 458 | 748 |
| 2076 * | 456 | 744 |
| 2077 * | 455 | 741 |
| 2078 * | 453 | 738 |
| 2079 * | 451 | 735 |
| 2080 * | 448 | 730 |
| 2081 * | 446 | 729 |
| 2082 * | 444 | 726 |
| 2083 * | 441 | 723 |
| 2084 * | 440 | 721 |
| 2085 * | 437 | 716 |
| 2086 * | 435 | 712 |
| 2087 * | 433 | 710 |
| 2088 * | 432 | 705 |
| 2089 * | 431 | 700 |
| 2090 * | 429 | 697 |
| 2091 * | 428 | 693 |
| 2092 * | 427 | 690 |
| 2093 * | 426 | 686 |
| 2094 * | 425 | 683 |
| 2095 * | 425 | 679 |
| 2096 * | 424 | 676 |
| 2097 * | 424 | 673 |
| 2098 * | 423 | 670 |
| 2099 * | 422 | 669 |
| 2100 * | 421 | 666 |
* UN projection
Compare with Europe
| Country | Population 2026 | Growth | Fertility | Median age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guernsey | 65 thousand | +0.15% | 1.37 | 44.5 |
| Russia | 143 million | −0.23% | 1.47 | 40.7 |
| Germany | 83.6 million | −0.23% | 1.46 | 45.7 |
| United Kingdom | 69.9 million | +0.52% | 1.53 | 40.2 |
| France | 66.7 million | +0.14% | 1.64 | 42.5 |
| Italy | 58.9 million | −0.39% | 1.22 | 48.6 |
| Spain | 47.9 million | −0.10% | 1.24 | 46.3 |
| Ukraine | 39.5 million | −0.74% | 1.00 | 41.8 |
| Poland | 37.8 million | −0.38% | 1.31 | 43.0 |
All 237 countries · Fertility rate by country · Birth rate by country · Median age by country · Life expectancy by country · Population growth rate by country · Population density by country · Largest countries by area · Death rate by country · Infant mortality rate by country · Elderly population by country · Net migration rate by country · Urban population by country · Sex ratio by country
Questions
What is the population of Guernsey in 2026?
Is Guernsey's population growing or shrinking?
When will Guernsey's population peak?
What is the fertility rate in Guernsey?
How many babies are born in Guernsey every day?
What is the life expectancy in Guernsey?
How many men and women live in Guernsey?
What is the population density of Guernsey?
What was the population of Guernsey in 2000?
What will the population of Guernsey be in 2050?
Source and method
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant. Figures for 1950–2023 are UN estimates; later years are the medium-variant projection, which assumes fertility, mortality and migration follow their most likely paths. National statistics offices publish their own counts, which can differ. Reuse under CC BY 3.0 IGO. How we use the data.