Population · Europe

Lithuania population 2026

Right now · estimate

2,789,393

Births today: 0
Deaths today: 0
Births this year: 18,005
Births minus deaths this year: -15,311

Lithuania has an estimated 2,797,338 people on 1 July 2026, the UN's projection, 32,806 fewer than a year earlier (−1.16%). It is the 143rd most populous country in the world. Its population peaked in 1991 at 3.7 million and is projected to fall to 2.3 million by 2050.

UN projection The counter interpolates the UN’s 1 July figures to the second; it is an estimate, not a count.

Rank in the world

Year	Population	Rank
1950	2.4 million	99th
2000	3.5 million	127th
2026*	2.8 million	143rd
2050*	2.3 million	148th
2100*	1.2 million	155th

* UN medium-variant projection. Ranks among 237 countries and areas.

Lithuania in numbers, 2026

Births in 2026: 21 thousand 59 a day
Deaths in 2026: 40 thousand 109 a day
Net migration: −5 thousand more departures than arrivals
Growth rate: −0.82% shrinking
Fertility rate: 1.22per woman below replacement (2.1)
Median age: 42.6years world: 31.1
Life expectancy: 76.5years
Aged 65 and over: 21.3% 28.6% by 2050

Land, people and health

Capital: Vilnius
Area: 65,200 km² 124th largest of 237
Population density: 45per km² 175th most crowded
Urban population: 69.3% 75.2% by 2050
Men and women: 1.3 million / 1.5 million 89.6 men per 100 women
Life expectancy, women: 81.1years men: 71.8 years
Infant mortality: 2.9per 1,000 births under-5: 3.6
Birth rate: 7.7per 1,000 death rate: 14.2
Net migration rate: −1.7per 1,000 net departures

Population of Lithuania, 1950–2100

Peaked in 1991 at 3.7 million. By 2050: 2.3 million (−19.3% from today).

UN estimate
UN projection

1.2M 2026

› Show the numbers as a table

Year	Population
1950	2,432,996
1951	2,458,819
1952	2,486,410
1953	2,515,124
1954	2,544,703
1955	2,575,311
1956	2,607,334
1957	2,641,761
1958	2,678,936
1959	2,722,674
1960	2,769,095
1961	2,812,598
1962	2,853,287
1963	2,891,072
1964	2,928,854
1965	2,965,262
1966	3,000,357
1967	3,035,378
1968	3,070,266
1969	3,103,420
1970	3,135,872
1971	3,170,709
1972	3,204,905
1973	3,236,222
1974	3,266,362
1975	3,295,733
1976	3,324,568
1977	3,353,248
1978	3,380,074
1979	3,404,736
1980	3,428,419
1981	3,452,309
1982	3,477,584
1983	3,505,432
1984	3,534,124
1985	3,562,388
1986	3,593,780
1987	3,627,367
1988	3,672,646
1989	3,696,105
1990	3,695,012
1991	3,701,407
1992	3,697,544
1993	3,680,196
1994	3,654,891
1995	3,627,038
1996	3,599,712
1997	3,573,409
1998	3,547,770
1999	3,522,902
2000	3,500,402
2001	3,473,004
2002	3,444,050
2003	3,415,278
2004	3,376,699
2005	3,322,263
2006	3,269,808
2007	3,231,374
2008	3,198,480
2009	3,163,254
2010	3,097,720
2011	3,028,642
2012	2,988,329
2013	2,958,360
2014	2,933,168
2015	2,905,764
2016	2,869,110
2017	2,829,312
2018	2,802,478
2019	2,795,058
2020	2,795,765
2021	2,794,488
2022	2,816,920
2023	2,854,099
2024 *	2,859,110
2025 *	2,830,144
2026 *	2,797,338
2027 *	2,774,226
2028 *	2,751,170
2029 *	2,728,543
2030 *	2,706,358
2031 *	2,684,470
2032 *	2,662,806
2033 *	2,641,153
2034 *	2,619,272
2035 *	2,597,392
2036 *	2,575,501
2037 *	2,553,096
2038 *	2,530,462
2039 *	2,507,572
2040 *	2,484,835
2041 *	2,462,456
2042 *	2,439,831
2043 *	2,416,940
2044 *	2,394,333
2045 *	2,372,136
2046 *	2,349,907
2047 *	2,327,242
2048 *	2,304,356
2049 *	2,281,738
2050 *	2,258,774
2051 *	2,235,291
2052 *	2,211,554
2053 *	2,187,826
2054 *	2,164,009
2055 *	2,139,759
2056 *	2,115,392
2057 *	2,091,118
2058 *	2,066,923
2059 *	2,042,816
2060 *	2,018,844
2061 *	1,995,248
2062 *	1,971,968
2063 *	1,949,084
2064 *	1,926,552
2065 *	1,903,850
2066 *	1,881,175
2067 *	1,858,812
2068 *	1,836,706
2069 *	1,814,678
2070 *	1,792,884
2071 *	1,771,446
2072 *	1,750,199
2073 *	1,729,087
2074 *	1,707,775
2075 *	1,686,322
2076 *	1,664,955
2077 *	1,643,650
2078 *	1,622,388
2079 *	1,601,171
2080 *	1,579,986
2081 *	1,558,790
2082 *	1,537,666
2083 *	1,516,734
2084 *	1,496,074
2085 *	1,475,573
2086 *	1,455,416
2087 *	1,435,623
2088 *	1,415,934
2089 *	1,396,579
2090 *	1,377,668
2091 *	1,359,111
2092 *	1,340,912
2093 *	1,323,187
2094 *	1,306,015
2095 *	1,289,081
2096 *	1,272,407
2097 *	1,256,182
2098 *	1,240,218
2099 *	1,224,405
2100 *	1,208,675

* UN projection

Population of Lithuania by year

3.5 million in 2000, 2.8 million in 2026. Every year for the last decade, then every five years to 1950. * UN projection; earlier years are UN estimates.

Year	Population	Yearly change	Change	Net migrants	Median age	Fertility	Density (km²)	Urban	World share	World rank
2026*	2,797,338	−1.16%	−32,806	−4,846	42.6	1.22	45	69%	0.03%	143
2025*	2,830,144	−1.01%	−28,966	−24,618	42.3	1.22	45	69%	0.03%	142
2024*	2,859,110	+0.18%	+5,011	+2,617	42.0	1.21	46	69%	0.04%	141
2023	2,854,099	+1.32%	+37,179	+44,935	42.1	1.20	46	69%	0.04%	141
2022	2,816,920	+0.80%	+22,432	+72,100	42.6	1.27	45	68%	0.04%	143
2021	2,794,488	−0.05%	−1,277	+19,657	43.1	1.36	45	68%	0.04%	143
2020	2,795,765	+0.03%	+707	+19,884	43.2	1.49	45	67%	0.04%	142
2019	2,795,058	−0.26%	−7,420	+10,665	43.1	1.61	45	67%	0.04%	142
2018	2,802,478	−0.95%	−26,834	−3,459	43.0	1.64	45	67%	0.04%	141
2017	2,829,312	−1.39%	−39,798	−28,027	42.7	1.63	45	67%	0.04%	140
2016	2,869,110	−1.26%	−36,654	−30,612	42.3	1.69	46	67%	0.04%	140
2015	2,905,764	−0.93%	−27,404	−22,560	41.9	1.71	46	67%	0.04%	139
2010	3,097,720	−2.07%	−65,534	−78,887	39.7	1.50	49	67%	0.04%	134
2005	3,322,263	−1.61%	−54,436	−51,357	37.5	1.29	53	67%	0.05%	130
2000	3,500,402	−0.64%	−22,500	−16,077	35.0	1.38	56	67%	0.06%	127
1995	3,627,038	−0.76%	−27,853	−23,509	33.1	1.55	58	67%	0.06%	123
1990	3,695,012	−0.03%	−1,093	−8,840	31.5	2.03	59	68%	0.07%	119
1985	3,562,388	+0.80%	+28,264	+9,417	31.1	2.10	57	66%	0.07%	115
1980	3,428,419	+0.70%	+23,683	+7,412	30.8	2.00	55	62%	0.08%	111
1975	3,295,733	+0.90%	+29,371	+8,170	30.6	2.17	53	56%	0.08%	110
1970	3,135,872	+1.05%	+32,452	+6,530	29.8	2.40	50	51%	0.08%	106
1965	2,965,262	+1.24%	+36,408	+4,196	28.7	2.23	47	44%	0.09%	105
1960	2,769,095	+1.70%	+46,421	+2,328	27.5	2.62	44	40%	0.09%	105
1955	2,575,311	+1.20%	+30,608	+0	25.9	2.57	41	36%	0.09%	101
1950	2,432,996	–	–	+0	25.1	2.71	39	32%	0.10%	99

Population forecast for Lithuania

UN medium-variant projection: 2.3 million in 2050 (−19.3% from 2026), 1.2 million in 2100.

Year	Population	Yearly change	Net migrants	Median age	Fertility	Density (km²)	Urban	World share	World rank
2030	2,706,358	−0.81%	−3,277	43.8	1.25	43	70%	0.03%	145
2035	2,597,392	−0.84%	−2,126	45.5	1.28	42	72%	0.03%	147
2040	2,484,835	−0.91%	−2,213	47.4	1.31	40	73%	0.03%	148
2045	2,372,136	−0.93%	−1,768	49.1	1.33	38	74%	0.03%	148
2050	2,258,774	−1.01%	−2,098	50.3	1.35	36	75%	0.02%	148
2060	2,018,844	−1.17%	−2,001	51.6	1.39	32	–	0.02%	149
2070	1,792,884	−1.20%	−1,155	53.7	1.41	29	–	0.02%	152
2080	1,579,986	−1.32%	−1,300	55.4	1.43	25	–	0.02%	153
2090	1,377,668	−1.35%	−906	55.2	1.44	22	–	0.01%	153
2100	1,208,675	−1.28%	−796	55.4	1.45	19	–	0.01%	155

Largest cities in Lithuania

Urban area in 2026: the whole built-up city, measured the same way for every country (UN, 2025). * UN projection. Largest cities in the world

#	City	Population 2026	2050*
1	Vilnius (capital)	335,746	306,268
2	Kaunas	262,041	239,177
3	Klaipėda	113,736	97,611
4	Panevėžys	81,365	73,513

Age structure

Median age 42.6. 21.3% are 65 or older, 28.6% by 2050; 14.3% are under 15.

Lithuania, 2026 Men 2026 Women 2026 2050 (projection)

Share of the total population in each age group (%)

Births per woman

1.22 in 2026; about 2.1 keeps a population stable without migration. Below 2.1 since 1988.

UN estimate
UN projection

1.4 2026

› Show the numbers as a table

Year	Fertility rate
1950	2.71
1951	2.70
1952	2.66
1953	2.61
1954	2.58
1955	2.57
1956	2.58
1957	2.63
1958	2.65
1959	2.63
1960	2.62
1961	2.61
1962	2.47
1963	2.35
1964	2.30
1965	2.23
1966	2.26
1967	2.27
1968	2.31
1969	2.33
1970	2.40
1971	2.41
1972	2.35
1973	2.22
1974	2.21
1975	2.17
1976	2.17
1977	2.13
1978	2.08
1979	2.05
1980	2.00
1981	1.99
1982	1.98
1983	2.12
1984	2.09
1985	2.10
1986	2.13
1987	2.11
1988	2.01
1989	1.99
1990	2.03
1991	2.01
1992	1.97
1993	1.74
1994	1.58
1995	1.55
1996	1.49
1997	1.47
1998	1.46
1999	1.46
2000	1.38
2001	1.28
2002	1.23
2003	1.26
2004	1.27
2005	1.29
2006	1.32
2007	1.36
2008	1.44
2009	1.50
2010	1.50
2011	1.55
2012	1.59
2013	1.58
2014	1.63
2015	1.71
2016	1.69
2017	1.63
2018	1.64
2019	1.61
2020	1.49
2021	1.36
2022	1.27
2023	1.20
2024 *	1.21
2025 *	1.22
2026 *	1.22
2027 *	1.23
2028 *	1.24
2029 *	1.24
2030 *	1.25
2031 *	1.25
2032 *	1.26
2033 *	1.27
2034 *	1.28
2035 *	1.28
2036 *	1.29
2037 *	1.29
2038 *	1.30
2039 *	1.30
2040 *	1.31
2041 *	1.31
2042 *	1.32
2043 *	1.32
2044 *	1.33
2045 *	1.33
2046 *	1.34
2047 *	1.34
2048 *	1.34
2049 *	1.35
2050 *	1.35
2051 *	1.36
2052 *	1.37
2053 *	1.37
2054 *	1.37
2055 *	1.37
2056 *	1.38
2057 *	1.38
2058 *	1.38
2059 *	1.39
2060 *	1.39
2061 *	1.39
2062 *	1.39
2063 *	1.40
2064 *	1.40
2065 *	1.40
2066 *	1.40
2067 *	1.41
2068 *	1.41
2069 *	1.41
2070 *	1.41
2071 *	1.41
2072 *	1.41
2073 *	1.41
2074 *	1.42
2075 *	1.42
2076 *	1.42
2077 *	1.42
2078 *	1.42
2079 *	1.43
2080 *	1.43
2081 *	1.43
2082 *	1.43
2083 *	1.43
2084 *	1.44
2085 *	1.44
2086 *	1.44
2087 *	1.44
2088 *	1.44
2089 *	1.44
2090 *	1.44
2091 *	1.44
2092 *	1.44
2093 *	1.45
2094 *	1.45
2095 *	1.45
2096 *	1.45
2097 *	1.45
2098 *	1.45
2099 *	1.45
2100 *	1.45

* UN projection

Births and deaths each year

Deaths have outnumbered births since 1994.

Births
Deaths
UN estimate
UN projection

7.4k22.3k 2026

› Show the numbers as a table

Year	Births	Deaths
1950	53,541	28,829
1951	54,734	27,798
1952	55,245	26,996
1953	55,529	26,360
1954	55,891	25,899
1955	56,779	25,548
1956	58,129	25,320
1957	59,994	23,940
1958	61,277	22,977
1959	61,479	22,127
1960	62,765	21,429
1961	63,005	22,217
1962	59,820	24,683
1963	57,047	22,949
1964	55,882	21,665
1965	53,864	23,267
1966	54,236	23,640
1967	53,717	24,331
1968	54,149	25,527
1969	54,012	27,028
1970	55,140	27,933
1971	55,585	26,770
1972	54,233	28,969
1973	51,679	28,821
1974	51,634	29,299
1975	51,459	30,983
1976	51,967	31,524
1977	51,928	32,553
1978	51,658	33,675
1979	51,647	34,572
1980	51,567	35,620
1981	52,083	35,409
1982	52,965	35,000
1983	57,424	36,444
1984	57,607	38,620
1985	58,537	39,245
1986	59,758	35,858
1987	59,328	37,049
1988	56,612	37,802
1989	55,723	39,284
1990	56,980	39,786
1991	56,217	41,038
1992	54,643	41,627
1993	47,691	46,278
1994	42,617	46,576
1995	41,371	45,496
1996	39,274	43,064
1997	38,027	41,283
1998	37,206	40,899
1999	36,518	40,029
2000	34,162	39,041
2001	31,253	40,371
2002	29,603	41,035
2003	30,107	40,882
2004	30,001	41,374
2005	29,937	43,771
2006	29,726	44,708
2007	30,163	45,502
2008	31,641	43,794
2009	32,444	42,073
2010	31,778	42,142
2011	30,720	41,115
2012	30,653	40,982
2013	30,016	41,469
2014	30,516	40,288
2015	31,732	41,815
2016	31,113	41,171
2017	29,217	40,116
2018	28,319	39,599
2019	27,513	38,285
2020	25,191	43,553
2021	22,978	46,703
2022	21,556	44,732
2023	21,434	40,940
2024 *	22,186	40,207
2025 *	22,099	40,004
2026 *	21,457	39,704
2027 *	21,128	39,462
2028 *	20,768	39,231
2029 *	20,339	38,993
2030 *	19,969	38,777
2031 *	19,594	38,543
2032 *	19,247	38,355
2033 *	18,940	38,184
2034 *	18,623	38,014
2035 *	18,346	37,891
2036 *	18,146	37,787
2037 *	17,952	37,725
2038 *	17,792	37,689
2039 *	17,696	37,670
2040 *	17,620	37,678
2041 *	17,574	37,692
2042 *	17,535	37,737
2043 *	17,496	37,766
2044 *	17,448	37,792
2045 *	17,360	37,796
2046 *	17,220	37,785
2047 *	17,033	37,779
2048 *	16,787	37,766
2049 *	16,530	37,664
2050 *	16,216	37,511
2051 *	15,875	37,355
2052 *	15,500	37,162
2053 *	15,064	36,934
2054 *	14,656	36,662
2055 *	14,236	36,364
2056 *	13,872	36,031
2057 *	13,510	35,653
2058 *	13,192	35,292
2059 *	12,905	34,915
2060 *	12,636	34,524
2061 *	12,393	34,149
2062 *	12,208	33,785
2063 *	12,024	33,458
2064 *	11,853	33,137
2065 *	11,704	32,807
2066 *	11,575	32,488
2067 *	11,471	32,186
2068 *	11,353	31,948
2069 *	11,269	31,732
2070 *	11,174	31,531
2071 *	11,100	31,347
2072 *	11,030	31,219
2073 *	10,962	31,065
2074 *	10,898	30,945
2075 *	10,824	30,809
2076 *	10,726	30,712
2077 *	10,619	30,600
2078 *	10,525	30,489
2079 *	10,394	30,339
2080 *	10,257	30,157
2081 *	10,113	29,922
2082 *	9,936	29,676
2083 *	9,751	29,369
2084 *	9,574	29,025
2085 *	9,389	28,651
2086 *	9,195	28,235
2087 *	9,017	27,760
2088 *	8,829	27,264
2089 *	8,635	26,779
2090 *	8,457	26,295
2091 *	8,308	25,803
2092 *	8,163	25,302
2093 *	8,037	24,812
2094 *	7,914	24,361
2095 *	7,807	23,929
2096 *	7,693	23,543
2097 *	7,619	23,201
2098 *	7,550	22,862
2099 *	7,480	22,578
2100 *	7,407	22,314

* UN projection

Economy of Lithuania

GDP by country →

GDP 2026: $105 billion 82nd largest economy
GDP per person: $36,135 US$, market rates
GDP per person (PPP): Int$ 61,229 at purchasing power parity
Economic growth: +2.7% real GDP
Inflation: 5.4% consumer prices
Unemployment: 6.8% of the labour force
Government debt: 44.7% of GDP
Share of world GDP: 0.1%

IMF estimate
IMF projection

134B 2026

› Show the numbers as a table

Year	GDP, US$
1995	6,742,000,000
1996	8,440,000,000
1997	10,159,000,000
1998	11,284,000,000
1999	11,017,000,000
2000	11,541,000,000
2001	12,260,000,000
2002	14,283,000,000
2003	18,801,000,000
2004	22,710,000,000
2005	26,118,000,000
2006	30,138,000,000
2007	39,765,000,000
2008	48,004,000,000
2009	37,591,000,000
2010	36,693,000,000
2011	43,201,000,000
2012	42,736,000,000
2013	46,321,000,000
2014	48,388,000,000
2015	41,548,000,000
2016	42,952,000,000
2017	47,745,000,000
2018	54,295,000,000
2019	55,132,000,000
2020	57,352,000,000
2021	67,103,000,000
2022	70,687,000,000
2023	80,392,000,000
2024	85,482,000,000
2025	95,149,000,000
2026 *	104,721,000,000
2027 *	110,416,000,000
2028 *	117,112,000,000
2029 *	122,348,000,000
2030 *	128,182,000,000
2031 *	133,982,000,000

* IMF projection

Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook (October 2026). 2026 and later are IMF projections. GDP per capita by country · Richest countries

CO₂ emissions of Lithuania

CO₂ by country →

CO₂ emissions 2024: 12.5 million tonnes 103rd largest emitter
Per person: 4.39 t world: 4.73 t
Share of world CO₂: 0.03% 0.03% of its people
Change since 1990: −65% −10% since 2005

13 2024

› Show the numbers as a table

Year	CO₂, million tonnes
1950	7.00
1951	7.58
1952	8.12
1953	8.59
1954	9.38
1955	10.63
1956	11.67
1957	12.77
1958	13.63
1959	14.33
1960	14.92
1961	15.40
1962	16.18
1963	17.37
1964	18.48
1965	19.60
1966	20.71
1967	21.67
1968	22.30
1969	23.25
1970	24.46
1971	26.01
1972	27.42
1973	28.63
1974	29.79
1975	31.36
1976	32.59
1977	33.72
1978	34.92
1979	35.22
1980	36.61
1981	35.99
1982	36.68
1983	37.24
1984	37.60
1985	40.51
1986	36.06
1987	36.07
1988	36.47
1989	36.82
1990	35.74
1991	37.82
1992	21.17
1993	16.32
1994	15.77
1995	15.06
1996	15.74
1997	15.16
1998	16.00
1999	13.45
2000	11.84
2001	12.59
2002	12.67
2003	12.66
2004	13.25
2005	13.86
2006	14.20
2007	15.47
2008	14.92
2009	12.83
2010	13.80
2011	13.96
2012	14.05
2013	13.15
2014	12.85
2015	13.04
2016	13.10
2017	13.28
2018	13.41
2019	13.65
2020	13.50
2021	13.78
2022	12.89
2023	12.51
2024	12.54

By source, 2024

Oil66.7%
Gas24.2%
Cement4.0%
Coal3.0%
Flaring1.6%

Fossil fuels and industry, territorial; Global Carbon Budget via Our World in Data (CC BY 4.0). CO₂ per capita by country · Historical emissions

Compare with Europe

Country	Population 2026	Growth	Fertility	Median age
Lithuania	2.8 million	−0.82%	1.22	42.6
Russia	143 million	−0.23%	1.47	40.7
Germany	83.6 million	−0.23%	1.46	45.7
United Kingdom	69.9 million	+0.52%	1.53	40.2
France	66.7 million	+0.14%	1.64	42.5
Italy	58.9 million	−0.39%	1.22	48.6
Spain	47.9 million	−0.10%	1.24	46.3
Ukraine	39.5 million	−0.74%	1.00	41.8
Poland	37.8 million	−0.38%	1.31	43.0

All 237 countries · Fertility rate by country · Birth rate by country · Median age by country · Life expectancy by country · Population growth rate by country · Population density by country · Largest countries by area · Death rate by country · Infant mortality rate by country · Elderly population by country · Net migration rate by country · Urban population by country · Sex ratio by country

Air quality in Lithuania today

Hourly AQI and a 48-hour forecast for Vilnius.

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Questions

What is the population of Lithuania in 2026?

2,797,338 on 1 July 2026, according to the UN's World Population Prospects 2024 (medium-variant projection). That is 2.8 million people, −1.16% on 2025.

Is Lithuania's population growing or shrinking?

Shrinking: 32,806 fewer people in 2026 than in 2025. Deaths have outnumbered births since 1994.

When will Lithuania's population peak?

It already did: 3.7 million in 1991. The UN projects 2.3 million in 2050 and 1.2 million in 2100.

What is the fertility rate in Lithuania?

1.22 births per woman in 2026. A population replaces itself at about 2.1. Lithuania has been below that since 1988.

How many babies are born in Lithuania every day?

About 59 a day (21 thousand in 2026), against about 109 deaths a day.

What is the life expectancy in Lithuania?

76.5 years at birth in 2026: 81.1 for women and 71.8 for men, against a world average of 73.8.

How many men and women live in Lithuania?

About 1.3 million men and 1.5 million women in 2026, or 89.6 men for every 100 women.

What is the population density of Lithuania?

45 people per km² of land in 2026, on a total area of 65,200 km². The world average is 64.

What was the population of Lithuania in 2000?

3,500,402 (3.5 million), the UN estimate for 1 July 2000. It has fallen by 20% since, to 2.8 million in 2026.

What will the population of Lithuania be in 2050?

About 2.3 million on the UN's medium projection (2,258,774), −19.3% from 2026; 1.2 million by 2100.

What are the largest cities in Lithuania?

Vilnius (336 thousand), Kaunas (262 thousand), Klaipėda (114 thousand), Panevėžys (81 thousand). UN figures for 2026, counting each city’s whole built-up area.

What is the GDP of Lithuania in 2026?

$105 billion at current prices, the 82nd largest economy in the world, on the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (October 2026) figures; real growth of +2.7%.

What is Lithuania's GDP per capita?

$36,135 per person at market exchange rates in 2026, or Int$ 61,229 at purchasing power parity, which adjusts for local prices.

How much CO₂ does Lithuania emit?

12.5 million tonnes from fossil fuels and industry in 2024, 4.39 t per person and 0.03% of the world total; oil is the largest source (67%).

Source and method

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant. Figures for 1950–2023 are UN estimates; later years are the medium-variant projection, which assumes fertility, mortality and migration follow their most likely paths. National statistics offices publish their own counts, which can differ. Reuse under CC BY 3.0 IGO. How we use the data.