Population · Oceania
Tokelau population 2026
Right now · estimate
Tokelau population right now
2,716
- Births today
- 0
- Deaths today
- 0
- Births this year
- 46
- Births minus deaths this year
- +34
Tokelau has an estimated 2,691 people on 1 July 2026, the UN's projection, 83 more than a year earlier (+3.18%). It is the 235th most populous country in the world. It is projected to keep growing until 2081, peaking at 4 thousand, then decline to 4 thousand by 2100.
UN projection The counter interpolates the UN’s 1 July figures to the second; it is an estimate, not a count.
Tokelau in numbers, 2026
- Births in 2026
- 55 0 a day
- Deaths in 2026
- 15 0 a day
- Net migration
- +43 more arrivals than departures
- Growth rate
- +2.60% growing
- Fertility rate
- 2.54per woman above replacement (2.1)
- Median age
- 27.6years world: 31.1
- Life expectancy
- 77.4years
- Aged 65 and over
- 8.7% 12.3% by 2050
Land, people and health
- Area
- 10 km² 234th largest of 237
- Population density
- 224per km² 71st most crowded
- Urban population
- 0.0% 0.0% by 2050
- Men and women
- 1 thousand / 1 thousand 96.1 men per 100 women
- Life expectancy, women
- 79.3years men: 75.3 years
- Infant mortality
- 3.8per 1,000 births under-5: 5.0
- Birth rate
- 20.5per 1,000 death rate: 5.6
- Net migration rate
- +16.1per 1,000 net arrivals
Population of Tokelau, 1950–2100
Projected peak: 2081, 4 thousand. By 2050: 4 thousand (+42.0% from today).
- UN estimate
- UN projection
› Show the numbers as a table
| Year | Population |
|---|---|
| 1950 | 1,592 |
| 1951 | 1,562 |
| 1952 | 1,563 |
| 1953 | 1,576 |
| 1954 | 1,586 |
| 1955 | 1,593 |
| 1956 | 1,604 |
| 1957 | 1,637 |
| 1958 | 1,682 |
| 1959 | 1,730 |
| 1960 | 1,784 |
| 1961 | 1,838 |
| 1962 | 1,869 |
| 1963 | 1,882 |
| 1964 | 1,893 |
| 1965 | 1,899 |
| 1966 | 1,898 |
| 1967 | 1,873 |
| 1968 | 1,827 |
| 1969 | 1,776 |
| 1970 | 1,720 |
| 1971 | 1,666 |
| 1972 | 1,641 |
| 1973 | 1,643 |
| 1974 | 1,642 |
| 1975 | 1,639 |
| 1976 | 1,643 |
| 1977 | 1,653 |
| 1978 | 1,663 |
| 1979 | 1,666 |
| 1980 | 1,664 |
| 1981 | 1,664 |
| 1982 | 1,666 |
| 1983 | 1,689 |
| 1984 | 1,727 |
| 1985 | 1,761 |
| 1986 | 1,782 |
| 1987 | 1,778 |
| 1988 | 1,766 |
| 1989 | 1,763 |
| 1990 | 1,766 |
| 1991 | 1,774 |
| 1992 | 1,778 |
| 1993 | 1,775 |
| 1994 | 1,772 |
| 1995 | 1,771 |
| 1996 | 1,771 |
| 1997 | 1,782 |
| 1998 | 1,801 |
| 1999 | 1,821 |
| 2000 | 1,844 |
| 2001 | 1,864 |
| 2002 | 1,839 |
| 2003 | 1,774 |
| 2004 | 1,705 |
| 2005 | 1,631 |
| 2006 | 1,569 |
| 2007 | 1,552 |
| 2008 | 1,562 |
| 2009 | 1,574 |
| 2010 | 1,584 |
| 2011 | 1,598 |
| 2012 | 1,659 |
| 2013 | 1,726 |
| 2014 | 1,728 |
| 2015 | 1,698 |
| 2016 | 1,677 |
| 2017 | 1,742 |
| 2018 | 1,878 |
| 2019 | 2,014 |
| 2020 | 2,128 |
| 2021 | 2,205 |
| 2022 | 2,290 |
| 2023 | 2,398 |
| 2024 * | 2,506 |
| 2025 * | 2,608 |
| 2026 * | 2,691 |
| 2027 * | 2,765 |
| 2028 * | 2,844 |
| 2029 * | 2,918 |
| 2030 * | 2,985 |
| 2031 * | 3,053 |
| 2032 * | 3,122 |
| 2033 * | 3,178 |
| 2034 * | 3,228 |
| 2035 * | 3,280 |
| 2036 * | 3,333 |
| 2037 * | 3,387 |
| 2038 * | 3,433 |
| 2039 * | 3,474 |
| 2040 * | 3,512 |
| 2041 * | 3,547 |
| 2042 * | 3,584 |
| 2043 * | 3,620 |
| 2044 * | 3,655 |
| 2045 * | 3,689 |
| 2046 * | 3,721 |
| 2047 * | 3,745 |
| 2048 * | 3,769 |
| 2049 * | 3,797 |
| 2050 * | 3,821 |
| 2051 * | 3,841 |
| 2052 * | 3,868 |
| 2053 * | 3,898 |
| 2054 * | 3,923 |
| 2055 * | 3,948 |
| 2056 * | 3,974 |
| 2057 * | 3,994 |
| 2058 * | 4,020 |
| 2059 * | 4,052 |
| 2060 * | 4,077 |
| 2061 * | 4,096 |
| 2062 * | 4,117 |
| 2063 * | 4,140 |
| 2064 * | 4,161 |
| 2065 * | 4,182 |
| 2066 * | 4,210 |
| 2067 * | 4,235 |
| 2068 * | 4,256 |
| 2069 * | 4,280 |
| 2070 * | 4,303 |
| 2071 * | 4,324 |
| 2072 * | 4,343 |
| 2073 * | 4,362 |
| 2074 * | 4,375 |
| 2075 * | 4,383 |
| 2076 * | 4,391 |
| 2077 * | 4,399 |
| 2078 * | 4,403 |
| 2079 * | 4,410 |
| 2080 * | 4,418 |
| 2081 * | 4,422 |
| 2082 * | 4,419 |
| 2083 * | 4,415 |
| 2084 * | 4,416 |
| 2085 * | 4,420 |
| 2086 * | 4,417 |
| 2087 * | 4,414 |
| 2088 * | 4,416 |
| 2089 * | 4,419 |
| 2090 * | 4,418 |
| 2091 * | 4,412 |
| 2092 * | 4,409 |
| 2093 * | 4,406 |
| 2094 * | 4,398 |
| 2095 * | 4,393 |
| 2096 * | 4,393 |
| 2097 * | 4,387 |
| 2098 * | 4,383 |
| 2099 * | 4,378 |
| 2100 * | 4,370 |
* UN projection
Population of Tokelau by year
2 thousand in 2000, 3 thousand in 2026. Every year for the last decade, then every five years to 1950. * UN projection; earlier years are UN estimates.
| Year | Population | Yearly change | Change | Net migrants | Median age | Fertility | Density (km²) | Urban | World share | World rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* | 2,691 | +3.18% | +83 | +43 | 27.6 | 2.54 | 224 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2025* | 2,608 | +4.07% | +102 | +53 | 27.3 | 2.57 | 217 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2024* | 2,506 | +4.50% | +108 | +72 | 26.9 | 2.60 | 209 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2023 | 2,398 | +4.72% | +108 | +73 | 26.7 | 2.61 | 200 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2022 | 2,290 | +3.85% | +85 | +80 | 26.6 | 2.65 | 191 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2021 | 2,205 | +3.62% | +77 | +39 | 26.4 | 2.68 | 184 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2020 | 2,128 | +5.66% | +114 | +53 | 26.1 | 2.71 | 177 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2019 | 2,014 | +7.24% | +136 | +115 | 25.8 | 2.75 | 168 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2018 | 1,878 | +7.81% | +136 | +118 | 25.7 | 2.78 | 156 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2017 | 1,742 | +3.88% | +65 | +118 | 25.6 | 2.81 | 145 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 2016 | 1,677 | −1.24% | −21 | −28 | 25.5 | 2.86 | 140 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 2015 | 1,698 | −1.74% | −30 | −52 | 25.3 | 2.92 | 141 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 2010 | 1,584 | +0.64% | +10 | −5 | 25.1 | 3.25 | 132 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 2005 | 1,631 | −4.34% | −74 | −96 | 23.8 | 3.44 | 136 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 2000 | 1,844 | +1.26% | +23 | −11 | 20.9 | 3.82 | 154 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1995 | 1,771 | −0.06% | −1 | −43 | 20.5 | 4.47 | 148 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1990 | 1,766 | +0.17% | +3 | −41 | 19.6 | 4.56 | 147 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1985 | 1,761 | +1.97% | +34 | +0 | 18.1 | 4.19 | 147 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1980 | 1,664 | −0.12% | −2 | −30 | 17.1 | 4.08 | 139 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1975 | 1,639 | −0.18% | −3 | −30 | 15.1 | 4.41 | 137 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1970 | 1,720 | −3.15% | −56 | −94 | 14.5 | 5.04 | 143 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1965 | 1,899 | +0.32% | +6 | −49 | 14.9 | 5.55 | 158 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1960 | 1,784 | +3.12% | +54 | +3 | 16.4 | 5.73 | 149 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1955 | 1,593 | +0.44% | +7 | −28 | 17.8 | 5.50 | 133 | 0% | 0.00% | 236 |
| 1950 | 1,592 | – | – | −96 | 18.6 | 5.12 | 133 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
Population forecast for Tokelau
UN medium-variant projection: 4 thousand in 2050 (+42.0% from 2026), 4 thousand in 2100.
| Year | Population | Yearly change | Net migrants | Median age | Fertility | Density (km²) | Urban | World share | World rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 2,985 | +2.30% | +22 | 28.8 | 2.44 | 249 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2035 | 3,280 | +1.61% | +14 | 30.4 | 2.34 | 273 | 0% | 0.00% | 235 |
| 2040 | 3,512 | +1.09% | +4 | 32.0 | 2.26 | 293 | 0% | 0.00% | 234 |
| 2045 | 3,689 | +0.93% | +0 | 33.7 | 2.19 | 307 | 0% | 0.00% | 234 |
| 2050 | 3,821 | +0.63% | −5 | 34.8 | 2.14 | 318 | 0% | 0.00% | 233 |
| 2060 | 4,077 | +0.62% | −5 | 36.3 | 2.04 | 340 | – | 0.00% | 231 |
| 2070 | 4,303 | +0.54% | +2 | 39.1 | 1.96 | 359 | – | 0.00% | 231 |
| 2080 | 4,418 | +0.18% | −4 | 41.9 | 1.90 | 368 | – | 0.00% | 231 |
| 2090 | 4,418 | −0.02% | +1 | 43.6 | 1.85 | 368 | – | 0.00% | 231 |
| 2100 | 4,370 | −0.18% | −2 | 44.6 | 1.82 | 364 | – | 0.00% | 231 |
Age structure
Median age 27.6. 8.7% are 65 or older, 12.3% by 2050; 25.5% are under 15.
Share of the total population in each age group (%)
Births per woman
2.54 in 2026; about 2.1 keeps a population stable without migration.
- UN estimate
- UN projection
› Show the numbers as a table
| Year | Fertility rate |
|---|---|
| 1950 | 5.12 |
| 1951 | 5.22 |
| 1952 | 5.31 |
| 1953 | 5.38 |
| 1954 | 5.39 |
| 1955 | 5.50 |
| 1956 | 5.60 |
| 1957 | 5.62 |
| 1958 | 5.67 |
| 1959 | 5.71 |
| 1960 | 5.73 |
| 1961 | 5.72 |
| 1962 | 5.69 |
| 1963 | 5.66 |
| 1964 | 5.62 |
| 1965 | 5.55 |
| 1966 | 5.46 |
| 1967 | 5.37 |
| 1968 | 5.27 |
| 1969 | 5.16 |
| 1970 | 5.04 |
| 1971 | 4.93 |
| 1972 | 4.80 |
| 1973 | 4.66 |
| 1974 | 4.52 |
| 1975 | 4.41 |
| 1976 | 4.32 |
| 1977 | 4.22 |
| 1978 | 4.16 |
| 1979 | 4.10 |
| 1980 | 4.08 |
| 1981 | 4.06 |
| 1982 | 4.05 |
| 1983 | 4.09 |
| 1984 | 4.15 |
| 1985 | 4.19 |
| 1986 | 4.26 |
| 1987 | 4.32 |
| 1988 | 4.42 |
| 1989 | 4.51 |
| 1990 | 4.56 |
| 1991 | 4.60 |
| 1992 | 4.61 |
| 1993 | 4.58 |
| 1994 | 4.52 |
| 1995 | 4.47 |
| 1996 | 4.38 |
| 1997 | 4.27 |
| 1998 | 4.14 |
| 1999 | 4.00 |
| 2000 | 3.82 |
| 2001 | 3.67 |
| 2002 | 3.57 |
| 2003 | 3.51 |
| 2004 | 3.47 |
| 2005 | 3.44 |
| 2006 | 3.42 |
| 2007 | 3.40 |
| 2008 | 3.38 |
| 2009 | 3.34 |
| 2010 | 3.25 |
| 2011 | 3.16 |
| 2012 | 3.10 |
| 2013 | 3.04 |
| 2014 | 2.99 |
| 2015 | 2.92 |
| 2016 | 2.86 |
| 2017 | 2.81 |
| 2018 | 2.78 |
| 2019 | 2.75 |
| 2020 | 2.71 |
| 2021 | 2.68 |
| 2022 | 2.65 |
| 2023 | 2.61 |
| 2024 * | 2.60 |
| 2025 * | 2.57 |
| 2026 * | 2.54 |
| 2027 * | 2.52 |
| 2028 * | 2.49 |
| 2029 * | 2.47 |
| 2030 * | 2.44 |
| 2031 * | 2.42 |
| 2032 * | 2.40 |
| 2033 * | 2.38 |
| 2034 * | 2.36 |
| 2035 * | 2.34 |
| 2036 * | 2.32 |
| 2037 * | 2.31 |
| 2038 * | 2.29 |
| 2039 * | 2.27 |
| 2040 * | 2.26 |
| 2041 * | 2.25 |
| 2042 * | 2.23 |
| 2043 * | 2.22 |
| 2044 * | 2.21 |
| 2045 * | 2.19 |
| 2046 * | 2.18 |
| 2047 * | 2.17 |
| 2048 * | 2.16 |
| 2049 * | 2.15 |
| 2050 * | 2.14 |
| 2051 * | 2.13 |
| 2052 * | 2.11 |
| 2053 * | 2.10 |
| 2054 * | 2.09 |
| 2055 * | 2.08 |
| 2056 * | 2.07 |
| 2057 * | 2.06 |
| 2058 * | 2.05 |
| 2059 * | 2.05 |
| 2060 * | 2.04 |
| 2061 * | 2.03 |
| 2062 * | 2.02 |
| 2063 * | 2.02 |
| 2064 * | 2.01 |
| 2065 * | 2.00 |
| 2066 * | 2.00 |
| 2067 * | 1.99 |
| 2068 * | 1.98 |
| 2069 * | 1.97 |
| 2070 * | 1.96 |
| 2071 * | 1.96 |
| 2072 * | 1.95 |
| 2073 * | 1.94 |
| 2074 * | 1.94 |
| 2075 * | 1.93 |
| 2076 * | 1.92 |
| 2077 * | 1.92 |
| 2078 * | 1.91 |
| 2079 * | 1.90 |
| 2080 * | 1.90 |
| 2081 * | 1.89 |
| 2082 * | 1.89 |
| 2083 * | 1.88 |
| 2084 * | 1.88 |
| 2085 * | 1.88 |
| 2086 * | 1.87 |
| 2087 * | 1.87 |
| 2088 * | 1.86 |
| 2089 * | 1.86 |
| 2090 * | 1.85 |
| 2091 * | 1.85 |
| 2092 * | 1.84 |
| 2093 * | 1.84 |
| 2094 * | 1.84 |
| 2095 * | 1.83 |
| 2096 * | 1.83 |
| 2097 * | 1.83 |
| 2098 * | 1.82 |
| 2099 * | 1.82 |
| 2100 * | 1.82 |
* UN projection
Births and deaths each year
Deaths are projected to outnumber births from 2087.
- Births
- Deaths
- UN estimate
- UN projection
› Show the numbers as a table
| Year | Births | Deaths |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 57 | 23 |
| 1951 | 57 | 22 |
| 1952 | 57 | 21 |
| 1953 | 59 | 21 |
| 1954 | 60 | 21 |
| 1955 | 63 | 21 |
| 1956 | 65 | 20 |
| 1957 | 67 | 20 |
| 1958 | 70 | 20 |
| 1959 | 72 | 20 |
| 1960 | 75 | 20 |
| 1961 | 77 | 20 |
| 1962 | 78 | 20 |
| 1963 | 77 | 20 |
| 1964 | 76 | 20 |
| 1965 | 73 | 19 |
| 1966 | 70 | 19 |
| 1967 | 67 | 18 |
| 1968 | 64 | 18 |
| 1969 | 61 | 17 |
| 1970 | 57 | 17 |
| 1971 | 54 | 16 |
| 1972 | 51 | 16 |
| 1973 | 50 | 16 |
| 1974 | 49 | 16 |
| 1975 | 49 | 16 |
| 1976 | 48 | 16 |
| 1977 | 48 | 15 |
| 1978 | 48 | 15 |
| 1979 | 47 | 15 |
| 1980 | 47 | 15 |
| 1981 | 47 | 15 |
| 1982 | 47 | 14 |
| 1983 | 47 | 14 |
| 1984 | 48 | 14 |
| 1985 | 50 | 14 |
| 1986 | 52 | 14 |
| 1987 | 53 | 14 |
| 1988 | 55 | 14 |
| 1989 | 56 | 13 |
| 1990 | 57 | 13 |
| 1991 | 56 | 13 |
| 1992 | 55 | 13 |
| 1993 | 55 | 13 |
| 1994 | 54 | 12 |
| 1995 | 54 | 12 |
| 1996 | 53 | 12 |
| 1997 | 51 | 12 |
| 1998 | 50 | 12 |
| 1999 | 49 | 12 |
| 2000 | 47 | 12 |
| 2001 | 45 | 12 |
| 2002 | 44 | 12 |
| 2003 | 40 | 12 |
| 2004 | 37 | 12 |
| 2005 | 34 | 12 |
| 2006 | 30 | 12 |
| 2007 | 27 | 12 |
| 2008 | 27 | 12 |
| 2009 | 28 | 12 |
| 2010 | 28 | 12 |
| 2011 | 28 | 12 |
| 2012 | 28 | 12 |
| 2013 | 32 | 12 |
| 2014 | 32 | 12 |
| 2015 | 31 | 12 |
| 2016 | 30 | 12 |
| 2017 | 29 | 12 |
| 2018 | 33 | 12 |
| 2019 | 37 | 12 |
| 2020 | 41 | 13 |
| 2021 | 42 | 13 |
| 2022 | 43 | 13 |
| 2023 | 47 | 14 |
| 2024 * | 51 | 14 |
| 2025 * | 53 | 15 |
| 2026 * | 55 | 15 |
| 2027 * | 57 | 15 |
| 2028 * | 58 | 16 |
| 2029 * | 59 | 16 |
| 2030 * | 60 | 17 |
| 2031 * | 60 | 17 |
| 2032 * | 60 | 18 |
| 2033 * | 60 | 18 |
| 2034 * | 60 | 18 |
| 2035 * | 59 | 19 |
| 2036 * | 59 | 19 |
| 2037 * | 58 | 20 |
| 2038 * | 57 | 20 |
| 2039 * | 56 | 21 |
| 2040 * | 56 | 21 |
| 2041 * | 55 | 22 |
| 2042 * | 55 | 22 |
| 2043 * | 54 | 23 |
| 2044 * | 54 | 23 |
| 2045 * | 54 | 24 |
| 2046 * | 54 | 25 |
| 2047 * | 54 | 25 |
| 2048 * | 54 | 26 |
| 2049 * | 54 | 26 |
| 2050 * | 54 | 27 |
| 2051 * | 54 | 27 |
| 2052 * | 54 | 27 |
| 2053 * | 54 | 28 |
| 2054 * | 54 | 28 |
| 2055 * | 55 | 29 |
| 2056 * | 55 | 29 |
| 2057 * | 55 | 29 |
| 2058 * | 56 | 29 |
| 2059 * | 56 | 30 |
| 2060 * | 56 | 30 |
| 2061 * | 56 | 30 |
| 2062 * | 56 | 31 |
| 2063 * | 56 | 31 |
| 2064 * | 55 | 31 |
| 2065 * | 55 | 32 |
| 2066 * | 54 | 32 |
| 2067 * | 54 | 33 |
| 2068 * | 54 | 33 |
| 2069 * | 53 | 34 |
| 2070 * | 52 | 35 |
| 2071 * | 52 | 35 |
| 2072 * | 52 | 36 |
| 2073 * | 51 | 37 |
| 2074 * | 51 | 38 |
| 2075 * | 50 | 39 |
| 2076 * | 49 | 39 |
| 2077 * | 49 | 40 |
| 2078 * | 49 | 41 |
| 2079 * | 48 | 42 |
| 2080 * | 48 | 43 |
| 2081 * | 48 | 44 |
| 2082 * | 48 | 44 |
| 2083 * | 47 | 45 |
| 2084 * | 47 | 46 |
| 2085 * | 47 | 46 |
| 2086 * | 47 | 47 |
| 2087 * | 47 | 48 |
| 2088 * | 47 | 48 |
| 2089 * | 47 | 49 |
| 2090 * | 47 | 49 |
| 2091 * | 47 | 49 |
| 2092 * | 47 | 49 |
| 2093 * | 46 | 49 |
| 2094 * | 46 | 49 |
| 2095 * | 46 | 49 |
| 2096 * | 46 | 49 |
| 2097 * | 46 | 49 |
| 2098 * | 45 | 49 |
| 2099 * | 45 | 49 |
| 2100 * | 44 | 48 |
* UN projection
Compare with Oceania
| Country | Population 2026 | Growth | Fertility | Median age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokelau | 3 thousand | +2.60% | 2.54 | 27.6 |
| Australia | 27.2 million | +0.91% | 1.64 | 38.5 |
| Papua New Guinea | 10.9 million | +1.68% | 2.99 | 23.0 |
| New Zealand | 5.3 million | +0.65% | 1.64 | 38.0 |
| Timor Leste | 1.4 million | +1.31% | 2.50 | 22.1 |
| Fiji | 937 thousand | +0.43% | 2.23 | 28.3 |
| Solomon Islands | 858 thousand | +2.30% | 3.42 | 20.9 |
| Vanuatu | 343 thousand | +2.16% | 3.50 | 20.3 |
| New Caledonia | 298 thousand | +0.83% | 1.93 | 34.8 |
All 237 countries · Fertility rate by country · Birth rate by country · Median age by country · Life expectancy by country · Population growth rate by country · Population density by country · Largest countries by area · Death rate by country · Infant mortality rate by country · Elderly population by country · Net migration rate by country · Urban population by country · Sex ratio by country
Questions
What is the population of Tokelau in 2026?
Is Tokelau's population growing or shrinking?
When will Tokelau's population peak?
What is the fertility rate in Tokelau?
How many babies are born in Tokelau every day?
What is the life expectancy in Tokelau?
How many men and women live in Tokelau?
What is the population density of Tokelau?
What was the population of Tokelau in 2000?
What will the population of Tokelau be in 2050?
Source and method
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant. Figures for 1950–2023 are UN estimates; later years are the medium-variant projection, which assumes fertility, mortality and migration follow their most likely paths. National statistics offices publish their own counts, which can differ. Reuse under CC BY 3.0 IGO. How we use the data.